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John Mateer Oklahoma
File QB-13 · National rank 104 · 2027 class

John Mateer

#10· Oklahoma ·QB ·R-Sr ·2027 Draft · Little Elm, TX
6'1"Height 218 lbWeight
RepresentationRubicon Talent Confirmed
AthleteDay 1 StarterMulti-Year StarterStat Producer +1
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My Grade
7.8/10
Day 2 Caliber
Current · Draft Caliber
7.5 Floor range 1.0 Ceiling 8.5
8.5/10
Day 2 Caliber
Ceiling · +0.7
7.5/10
Day 3 Caliber
Floor · −0.3
Ceiling: Projected 2026 starter (QB1) — real opportunity to climb; close to ceiling (+0.7) · up-year team · QB premium.
Floor: Proven starter — high, stable floor · returning-starter role secures it; downside −0.3.
Grade last reviewed 1w ago
8.9+ Round 1 Caliber
7.8+ Day 2 Caliber
6.7+ Day 3 Caliber
5.6+ Priority UDFA
4.4+ UDFA
3.3+ Long Shot
2.2+ Raw Prospect
1.1+ Deep Project
0.0+ Non-Prospect
Grade History
7.8 2025
Re-graded after each season · 2025 is the beta baseline.
Scouting Notes

Dual-threat starter carrying the biggest body of work on the roster and the widest swing in it. The 2024 tape at Washington State is the case for him — 3,139 yards, 29 touchdowns, 826 rushing yards and 15 rushing scores, a genuine run-pass problem for a defense. The 2025 transfer to Oklahoma went the other way: 14 touchdowns to 11 interceptions and a 129.4 rating through a season he's since attributed to a thumb injury that required titanium screws and a rebuilt throwing motion. The rushing dimension is real and the 2024 production is starter-caliber. However, the SEC regression and the turnover spike are on tape too, and you can't fully discount 11 picks by pointing at the hand until the healthy season proves otherwise. A proven Power-4 starter whose grade sits at the Day 3 line — the healthy-arm bounce-back in 2026 decides which season the league believes.