FCS (Mercer) transfer projected as QB2 with a decent FCS 2024 (12 TDs, 4 INTs in 9 games) but only mop-up SEC reps since. The body of work is FCS-level and the role is backup, so the production doesn't translate cleanly up. Depth-caliber projection tempered hard for level.
Ceiling · 4.7
2026 rotation (QB2) — some opportunity; real room to grow (+1.3) · up-year team · QB premium.
Floor · 2.1
Some college production — moderate floor; downside −1.3.