Karson Cox is a former top-300 4-star RB (UCLA's best RB recruit here) but a redshirt-freshman with just 2 carries to date and a Reserve projection. Real pedigree and youth, but production over pedigree means the current stays low — the upside is in the ceiling. Longshot until he gets the ball.
Ceiling · 8.2
Buried for now (Reserve) but young + talented — could win a role; significant upside (+4.6) · RB devalued (ceiling capped).
Floor · 2.1
Unproven — wide downside if it doesn't translate; downside −1.5.