3★ unproven redshirt freshman RB; no college production on record yet, so the current grade is youth-appropriate — the upside is carried in the ceiling.
Ceiling · 7.0
Buried for now (Reserve) but young + talented — could win a role; significant upside (+3.7) · RB devalued (ceiling capped).
Floor · 1.8
Unproven — wide downside if it doesn't translate; downside −1.5.