Blue-chip (4★, No. 312 overall) unproven redshirt freshman RB; no college production on record yet, so the current grade is youth-appropriate — the upside is carried in the ceiling.
Ceiling · 8.2
Buried for now (RB3) but young + talented — could win a role; significant upside (+4.8) · Big 12 draft-temper · RB devalued (ceiling capped).
Floor · 1.9
Unproven — wide downside if it doesn't translate; downside −1.5.